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The four factors that will decide when lockdown will end in the UK

This is how we’ll know…

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Sarah-Rose / Flickr

It might seem like we’ve been in lockdown forever, but in reality it’s only been two weeks since Boris Johnson addressed the nation and told us to stay inside.

Now the big questions on everyone’s lips are when will the restrictions start to end, and when will things go back to normal?

According to Sky News, there are four factors that will decide when coronavirus lockdown might be relaxed, and these are new deaths, confirmed cases, infection rate and hospital admissions.

The number of new daily reported deaths

While the number that dominates the media is how many deaths there are each day, this will most likely be the last of the four factors to show the impact of lockdown as the figures lag behind.

This is because death figures take longer to surface, as from infection to either recovery or death can sometimes take up to three or four weeks – the daily death figures we’re seeing now are people who are likely to have contracted Covid-19 before lockdown.

On top of that, it takes time to process a death and inform relatives before it’s officially recorded, meaning even when the death rate decreases it might be a few days before this is reflected in the government’s figures. 

The number of confirmed cases

While the rate of growth in confirmed cases each day has been slowing since last weekend, it’s widely accepted that the actual number of Covid-19 cases is likely to be much higher in the UK.

The government has been rolling out more testing, but this has mostly been for NHS workers, and as more tests of health workers are conducted the number of confirmed cases will rise – as frontline workers are more likely to catch it.

The rate of infection

There’s evidence to suggest social distancing is slowing down the rate or coronavirus infection, with scientists at the London School for Hygiene and Tropical Medicine finding that on average people are now meeting just one person per day, while before lockdown that number was four.

This modelling has been quoted in the government’s daily coronavirus briefings, and suggests that the infection rate could reduce by 75% as a result of lockdown.

The number of hospital admissions

While the rate of people admitted to hospital with Covid-19 in England has been slowing for the last few days, these rates have highlighted how each part of the country is at a different stage of the outbreak.

London has been ahead of everywhere else in the UK for weeks, and is now seeing fewer hospital admissions. However, in the Midlands the admission rate has been up 47% in recent days, and up by 35% in Yorkshire and the North East, while we’ve seen a 25% increase here in the North West.

The death numbers from these regions are also seeing an increase, and University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Trust is now recording more deaths than anywhere else in England – including London.

When it comes to hospital admissions, this will provide the most consistent trend in the four factors.

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When will we know lockdown is working and we might be able to start lifting it?

Well, we can’t predict an exact date for when this might be, but by monitoring these four factors we’ll get an idea of how the measures are working – hospital admissions will be the best guide for how successful the restrictions are.

Over in Italy – which went into lockdown two weeks before the UK – admissions fell first, and this past weekend the Italians recorded their lowest daily death increase for a fortnight.

This is an example of how lockdown can be effective in slowing down the spread of coronavirus, and if the UK follows Italy’s example we’ll eventually see our way out of this situation.

But we all need to play our part, by following social distancing and isolation guidelines and staying indoors unless absolutely necessary – we can beat this together, by staying apart.

Feature

Affleck’s is home to the last remaining cassette tape shop in the UK

It’s 2021, and cassette tapes are going nowhere…

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Remember the humble cassette tape? Those clunky bits of plastic wound up with tape containing all your favourite songs waiting to be played in your bedside cassette decks?

Well, while they may seem like a distant memory to most of us (or completely pre-historic to you younger readers), it turns out they’re still quite the hit for one shop right here in Manchester.

Mars Tapes, located in the vibrant and eclectic Affleck’s Palace, was opened by friends Alex Tadross, Giorgio Carbone, and Borja Reguira who all shared a passion for retro music. But their love for cassette tapes in particular came when the group started their own music label, Sour Grapes, in 2017.

Alex told the MEN: “All three of us have been musicians and in bands, done gigs, and been on the local scene before we launched the label. We kind of specialised in doing cassettes for local bands, and European garage rock bands, and that kind of turned into this shop.”

The group found vinyl to be a little too expensive to produce music on, and no one was interested in CDs, so they turned to the next best thing: cassettes.

Alex explained: “It was all about affordability at first really. Vinyl runs can cost up to £1,000 to £2,000 to do depending on how many you want to release.”

And, despite everyone getting their music fix via Spotify or Apple Music (guilty) these days, demand for cassettes is surprisingly high, with Alex saying that business couldn’t be better.

“We started selling them here in Affleck’s and we got more and more stock, and became an authentic cassette shop. And we like to think we’re unique and that we’re the last one.”

Mars Tapes now boasts an incredible selection of music, including ‘New music,’ which includes an array of brand new, unopened and newly released tapes from the likes of Chic, Bjork, Florence and the Machine and Lewis Capaldi.

Though for those with a somewhat more vintage taste in music, fear not! Customers will also be able to find some golden oldies, too, such as The Beatles, Elvis and The Rolling Stones.

There’s also a ‘Manc Bands’ shelf with tapes from Take That, Simply Red, New Order, and even current chart-toppers Blossoms’ last album ‘Foolish Lovin’ Spaces.’

There’s even a selection of cassette tapes brought back from a holiday in Cairo, limited edition tapes ‘from around the world’, pop, rock, compilations, radio shows, ‘songs for the bedroom’ and plenty more.

So, when you next come across a dusty cassette tape in your bedroom drawer, make sure you bring it down to Mars Tapes, because they’ll definitely buy it off you.

To stay up to date with their wonderful cassette finds and offerings, follow their official Instagram page and drop a visit to their website… Or, just pop into Affleck’s when you’re next in town. I’d recommend the latter.

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Feature

The amazing reason Manchester has an Abraham Lincoln statue and square in the city centre

Believe it or not, the statue isn’t just there to brighten the place up…

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Anthony Parkes / Geograph & Waymarking.com

Located just off Albert Square in the smaller, more easily missed location of Lincoln Square, there stands a statue of the late US President Abraham Lincoln.

But why?

You’d be forgiven for being a little puzzled at the presence of an American politician who seemingly has no connection or place in our city, especially in a location as quiet and hidden away as Lincoln Square is.

But, as it turns out, the statue stands tall today as a poignant reminder for the role Victorian Manchester played in the US Civil War and the eventual abolishment of slavery.

David Dixon / Geograph

Let’s start from the beginning: As the largest processor of cotton in the world at the time, Manchester took a strong moral and political stance by supporting President Lincoln, despite his blockade of the Confederate states and the cotton supply beginning in April 1861.

Even though Manchester and its surrounding areas found a huge proportion (an estimated 60%) of its mills were struggling to stay afloat, largely as a result of the blockade, in a meeting at the Manchester Free Trade Hall in 1862 workers agreed to maintain their support for Lincoln – who was aiming to out-manoeuvre the Confederate states, win the civil war and ultimately abolish the US slave trade.

In supporting Lincoln and the Union the working people of Manchester had selflessly put their principles ahead of their own economic self-interest, leading to unemployment and hardship for the workers.

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President Lincoln wrote a letter in 1863 to thank the people of Manchester for their support – the letter, currently held by Manchester Libraries, Information and Archives, reads: “When I came, on the 4th of March, 1861, through a free and constitutional election to preside in the Government of the United States, the country was found at the verge of civil war.

“Whatever might have been the cause, or whosesoever the fault, one duty, paramount to all others, was, before me, namely, to maintain and preserve at once the Constitution and the integrity of the Federal Republic.”

Just two years later and months after the US Congress passed the Thirteenth Amendment which officially abolished slavery, Lincoln was assassinated. 

Despite his death, however, Lincoln continued to be regarded as somewhat of a Mancunian legend so, shortly after the First World War, a statue in his memory was sculpted by George Grey Bernard. The original statue was completed in 1916 and exhibited in New York before its sponsor, wealthy businessman Charles Taft from Cincinatti, said he would pay for a replica to be erected in England.

The statue was actually intended to stand outside the Houses of Parliament, in a tribute from the United States marking 100 years of peace between the two countries. However, the American sculptors’ depiction of a ‘vigorous pose’ was far too controversial for London’s tastes at the time, so the statue subsequently came to Manchester where it remains today.

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The monument was initially unveiled at Platt Fields Park, where it remained until the late 1980s before being moved and mounted on a new pedestal in its home today, Lincoln Square. 

And, in 2013, after years of enduring pollution and dirt build-up, the plaque was eventually cleaned and the message to the people of Manchester was revealed at long last.

It reads: “The support that the working people of Manchester gave in their fight for the abolition of slavery during the American Civil War… By supporting the union under President Lincoln at a time when there was an economic blockade of the southern states the Lancashire cotton workers were denied access to raw cotton which caused considerable unemployment throughout the cotton industry.”

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NEW OPENING: The Manchester pop-up serving waffles, fried chicken and lobster boxes

Manchester’s newest opening is built upon the roots of good old fashioned home cooking

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The newest addition to Manchester’s already extensive food scene is giving the humble chicken burger a very syrupy makeover.

WaffleStop opened its first ever pop-up kitchen just last week, but was born during lockdown as a virtual dark kitchen with a focus on good, old-fashioned home cooking with a twist. The brains behind the unique chicken-waffle-barbecue concept, Moss Side-born Georgia Patrick, came up with the idea for her brand when cooking for her partner.

Speaking to Proper Manchester, Georgia detailed how the inspiration for WaffleStop was born, crediting her love for home-made, high quality and unique food. She said: “I’m not really the type of person who always wants to go out for date nights, sometimes I prefer to just sit in and make a nice meal.

WaffleStop

“So on our anniversary a couple of years ago, I asked my partner what he wanted to eat, and he suggested ‘American fusion.’ There, I thought to myself, why don’t I make my own waffle chicken burger?”

From there, Georgia got to work researching various recipes for barbecue sauce, eventually coming up with her own unique recipe and creating her own waffle sauce. Initially using frozen waffles from the supermarket, Georgia made her first waffle burger and it proved to be a huge hit. She explained: “My brother came around to try it and when he loved it, that sparked the idea to start selling them.”

From there, she started making her own waffles from scratch and, with her business partners, brother Jerome Patrick and Dominic Cook, began putting together a full menu and business plan.

Thanks to the ongoing lockdowns last year, however, WaffleStop was forced to operate as a virtual dark kitchen – but now that Manchester has officially reopened, WaffleStop has secured a residency at The Progress Centre in Ardwick as a pop up.

WaffleStop

Since then, the menu has expanded massively; as well as her trademark waffle chicken burger, there are the likes of mac ‘n’ cheese, chicken wings, and even seafood additions such as chilli jerk glazed prawns and barbecue glazed lobster tail. There are also meat-free alternatives for vegetarian and vegan customers such as the Cali Burger, which includes a southern-fried cauliflower with sweet-chilli sauce.

Speaking of the unique menu, Georgia explained: “A menu highlight is definitely our lobster tail which is served with our signature barbecue sauce. The lobster tail comes as part of our Waffle Box deal, which comes with seasoned corn and two slices of waffle.

“The fusion-fried rice is also really popular, as are our honey-nut strips and honey-nut waffle burgers, which all give a sweet-but-savory twist to the menu.”

WaffleStop

Other box combinations include the Beach Box, which consists of loaded white chocolate and strawberry waffles, sweet chilli jerk salmon and seasoned corn, and the Baby Box, a smaller portion of white chocolate waffles and seasoned corn and a smaller price for those not wanting to break the bank.

WaffleStop is open Tuesday – Saturday, 12pm-8pm at the Progress Centre in Ardwick and operates on a strictly order and pick up basis only (though a sit down restaurant is on the cards for the future.)

WaffleStop, CheeseTrap and SugarBabez can all be found at the Progress Centre in Ardwick. For more information and to place your order, visit the official WaffleStop Instagram account here.

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